Touros do petróleo WTI de olho em US$ 83.00
A preocupação com a oferta global mais restrita provocada pela escalada do conflito no Médio Oriente poderá impulsionar os preços do petróleo neste início de semana
Goldman Sachs forecasts oil deficit
2020-09-18 • Atualizado
Oil keeps rallying for the fourth day in a row after Goldman Sachs claimed that the oil market is in deficit and also because of the recent storm in the Gulf of Mexico, which led to the sharp decline of oil production. It is the best week for oil since June!
Analysts from Goldman Sachs anticipate that the oil market is going to be in a deficit of 3 million barrels per day by the end of the year. Moreover, they draw forecasts for Brent oil prices: $49 by the year-end and $65 by the third quarter of 2021. The Saudi Arabian energy minister cautioned traders not to consider selling of oil and even threatened that if they do so, they would be hurt “like hell.”
OPEC+ members held a meeting and agreed on reducing oil supply by 7.7 million barrels per day to try to artificially increase prices. Besides, OPEC claimed that it would take action, if some members continue disobeying the agreement to cut oil production to prevent the oil market from crash amid the coronavirus crisis. Saudi Arabia emphasized that it will do everything to sustain the recovery and therefore won’t allow any country to cheat on production quotas. This week, the International Energy Agency claimed that the United Arab Emirates broke its pledge to quotas last month as well as Iraq.
However, from OPEC+ view, the oil supply is not the main problem as it can regulate it. The sticking point remains the oil demand, which is out of the control of OPEC+. The demand recovery has slowed down recently amid rising new virus cases. Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak anticipates global oil demand to rebound only in the second quarter of the next year.
Technical tips
WTI oil price is currently below the 50-day moving average near $41.00. If it manages to jump above the high of August 10 at $42.00, the way towards the next round number at $43.00 will be clear. In the opposite scenario, the move below the key psychological mark of $40.00 will drive the price lower to the support of $38.00.
Semelhante
Incertezas no Oriente Médio fazem os preços do petróleo subirem
O cumprimento dos cortes de produção da OPEP+ aumentou, com as exportações a caírem cerca de 900.000 barris em fevereiro, o nível mais baixo desde agosto/23
Touros do WTI lutam para encontrar aceitação acima dos US$ 74.00
A produção de petróleo dos EUA estabeleceu um recorde de 13,3 milhões de barris por dia em dezembro, antes de recuar para 12,6 milhões de bpd em janeiro devido às tempestades de inverno
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